Translate

Monday, 23 February 2026

OPINION - When Skepticism Becomes Assumption

Skepticism is healthy.

In fact, it is essential.

Without skepticism, investigation collapses into belief. Claims go unchallenged. Stories grow unchecked. Critical thinking disappears.

But there is a difference between skepticism and assumption.

And in discussions surrounding the Yowie phenomenon, that difference is often overlooked.


The Role of Skepticism

True skepticism asks questions.

What did you see?
Under what conditions?
How reliable is the observation?
Are there alternative explanations?
Is there physical evidence?

It demands clarity. It resists easy conclusions. It slows momentum.

Skepticism improves inquiry.

But assumption does something different.

It decides the answer before the question is fully explored.


“It Can’t Exist”

One of the most common responses to reports of large unidentified hominids in Australia is immediate dismissal.

“It can’t exist.”

That statement sounds scientific.

But it isn’t.

Science rarely begins with certainty of impossibility. It begins with probability, observation and testing.

To say something “cannot” exist requires exhaustive knowledge of all variables. In a continent as large and ecologically complex as Australia, that level of certainty is difficult to justify.

What is often meant by “can’t” is actually “unlikely.”

There is a difference.


The Illusion of Total Knowledge

Modern culture creates a sense that everything has already been discovered. We map continents. We track animals with GPS collars. We use satellite imagery to monitor forests.

The assumption follows naturally:

If something large were out there, we would have catalogued it.

But the reality is less complete than it appears.

Large regions of Australia are not continuously monitored. Wildlife surveys are selective. Dense canopy cover limits aerial visibility. Remote terrain limits systematic ground searches.

Absence of confirmation does not equal confirmation of absence.

It simply means confirmation has not occurred.


Dismissing Witnesses Without Listening

Skepticism questions testimony.

Assumption dismisses it without examination.

When a witness describes an unusual encounter, there are only two rational starting points:

  1. The person is mistaken.

  2. The person is describing something not yet understood.

Both deserve calm evaluation.

Instead, many accounts are rejected outright before details are even considered. The label “myth” is applied early, ending inquiry before it begins.

That response may feel rational. But it is not investigative.


The Burden of Proof

In science, the burden of proof rests on the claimant.

That is reasonable.

Extraordinary claims require strong evidence.

But skepticism should not move the goalposts in advance.

If no evidence is sufficient — if photographs are dismissed automatically, if patterns in testimony are ignored, if ecological plausibility is rejected outright — then skepticism becomes impermeable.

And impermeable skepticism is not science.

It is belief in reverse.


Probability vs Comfort

Much of the resistance to the idea of a relic hominin in Australia stems from discomfort, not data.

The concept challenges our sense of completeness. It suggests the modern world may still contain biological surprises.

For some, that is intriguing.

For others, it feels disruptive.

It is easier to dismiss than to entertain the possibility.

But personal comfort does not determine ecological probability.


A Measured Middle Ground

The responsible position is not belief.

Nor is it reflexive dismissal.

It is this:

The existence of a relic hominin in Australia is unproven.

The ecological conditions that could allow concealment are plausible.

Witness patterns show consistency worth examining.

Physical evidence remains insufficient for confirmation.

That is not a sensational conclusion.

It is a balanced one.


Why This Distinction Matters

When skepticism hardens into assumption, inquiry stalls.

Questions stop being asked.

Data stops being collected.

Discussion becomes polarised into believers and critics, rather than observers and analysts.

The moment someone says, “It’s impossible,” without careful examination of geography, behaviour and pattern consistency, the conversation shifts from investigation to ideology.

True skepticism keeps the door slightly open.

Assumption closes it completely.


The Value of Uncertainty

Not knowing is uncomfortable.

But uncertainty is not weakness.

It is the starting point of research.

In the case of the Yowie phenomenon, certainty exists on neither side.

There is no confirmed specimen.

But there is also no exhaustive disproof.

Between those two realities lies a space for careful documentation.

That space is where disciplined inquiry operates.


A Calm Conclusion

Skepticism strengthens investigation.

Assumption weakens it.

The difference is subtle but important.

One asks questions.

The other answers them prematurely.

If the subject of Australia’s reported relic hominin is to be approached seriously, it must be met with open inquiry — not open belief, and not closed dismissal.

Some questions deserve patience.

Even when the answer remains uncertain.

No comments:

Post a Comment